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The main article explores hedging political risk.  There are three main conclusions. First, decisions as to whether to hedge political risk or not should be partially dependent on the...

Our latest Roadmap explores the potential economic and financial policies of the two candidates in the US Presidential Election.  We would regard a Trump victory as challenging for financial...

Our latest Roadmap shares our views on recession risk in the US.  The US economy has decelerated since the spring, and the unemployment rate has risen. However, this slowdown...

Our July Roadmap sets out our market views for the second half of the year and into 2025.  The very strong equity market returns in the first half owe...

Our May Roadmap assesses why the gold price has risen to new highs, even as bond yields have risen. The main candidate is a much higher level of central...

The key feature of our February Investment Roadmap is the UK equity market, and we explore some longer-term reasons for its subdued performance. We also summarise our latest market...